The future of music lies with the promoters, not the publishers

Via the Shifted Librarian:

“Experiments are rife in the music business these days — and Boston will be a test market for one of the most novel of them. Clear Channel Concerts, the nation’s largest concert promoter, has ambitious plans to record live CDs of its shows and sell them to patrons within five minutes after those shows end. Clear Channel is targeting Boston as the first site for the new plan, according to sources within the organization.

Multiple CD burners would be brought in, and the live CDs would probably sell for around $15 in the same way that T-shirts and other merchandise can be purchased after concerts. No one knows what the demand would be, but the project is expected to begin at club shows within a couple of months, then be refined and work its way up to the amphitheater level, though that may not happen until next year, sources say.” (Boston Globe)

How cool is this? $15 to get a CD of a gig you’ve just been to, right after it has ended! I know that whenever I’ve just been to a good concert, I’m all jumped up on happy endorphins and almost eager to spend money on merchandise. (Unfortunately, Clear Channel is talking about trials in a “couple of months”, so the pilot will probably be to late for my road trip.)

I can see this making huge inroads into the way people get their recorded music. Rather than listening to bands on the radio, and going out to a shop to buy their CD (of which you may have heard one or two tracks), you get recommendations from friends about good concerts, and when you like one you buy the CD. Maybe there’d be more “compilation” gigs, with several bands on stage in a night, so you could sample your new music at live venues, rather than on the radio.

And this way, people wouldn’t all end up with exactly the same recording of a particular song. Because it’s live music, every gig is different. The music promoters would also start actively encouraging file sharing and swapping, because that would drive more people to their concerts. If the concert were at was particularly good, surely you’d want to have copies of those particular versions of the songs?

Yes, you could wait until someone else bought the CD and gave you a copy, but then we’re back to the fact that you’ve just been jumping and singing for two hours, you’re in a great mood, and you’re highly receptive to the idea of parting with your money.

There are a couple of articles I’ve read recently (“Piracy is Progressive Taxation” by Tim O’Reilly, and “Embrace file-sharing, or die” by John and Ben Snyder) that discuss the current battle between music publishers and the file sharing community. Anyone who isn’t in the music publishing industry (or is paid by them) seems to eventually come to the same conclusion:
File-sharing networks don’t threaten book, music, or film publishing, they threaten existing publishers.

There’s no law that says musicians and bands must go to existing publishers. If Clear Channel’s idea takes off, then it’s the concert promoters who will be the publishers of the next century. Bands won’t sign recording contracts with record companies, they’ll sign concert deals with promoters.

Will musicians end up with a better deal out of it? Maybe, but probably not. Concert promoters are in the game for the money just as much as the current record companies are, and by all accounts both industries are equally big nests of vipers. The difference is that Promoters will want the public to swap files, and will do everything they can to make this easy, while the Publishers won’t.

The public will love this, and technology companies will love it, too, because there’s a fantastic opportunity for them to make money from new hardware. The CD-R idea is just a transitional one. iPod and its lookalikes are the future of personal music players. Sooner or later, all music players will feature a firewire or USB2 port for sucking down hours of music in seconds. Concert venues will feature banks of docking cradles, or transfer cables, where you can swipe your credit card and suck down the gig in en eyeblink.

Suddendly the future of music publishing doesn’t look so grim any more. The only thing that could stand in the way of this revolution is if the current music publishers start buying concert promoters, and lock down this new business model before it can even start. That would suck.

Martin and Scott’s Toad Road Trip

Martin and Scott's Toad Road TripIt has finally all come together. We got the flights. We got the hotel. And now we finally have the actual tickets for the gig… Scott and I are going to see Toad The Wet Sprocket in Boston–in just three weeks from now!

After splitting up in 1997, the boys from Toad decided to get together again at the end of last year to play a couple of benefit concerts. Then there came a rumour of a small tour in 2003. I was extremely excited. Scott and I are both big Toad fans, but we never got the chance to see them play live. Perhaps if they hit the East Coast of the US, we could get some cheap flights, and see them play!

Word of individual tour dates started leaking on the Glen Phillips and Lapdog message boards out during December. The official dates were released just before Christmas, and yes, there were plenty of East Coast dates to choose from. We looked at New York, Boston, Norfolk VA, Washington, Philadelphia, and Chicago, before we settled on Boston.

But although the Toad site listed dates when most of the shows would go on sale, they didn’t say when tickets for Boston would be available. We didn’t want to get flights before we had tickets for the show. We also noticed that some of the shows that went on sale early were selling out fast. So as January wore on, we were getting terribly worried that the tickets would be released without us knowing, and they’d sell out before we could buy any.

I watched the ticket site like a hawk, and just after I caught word that the public on-sale date was Saturday 18th, there came a helpful message from the Glen Phillips mailing list to say that fans could buy pre-sale tickets from Thursday 16th. I tried to buy tickets that day, through the Next Ticketing web site, but found that I couldn’t. Apparently they won’t issue pre-sale tickets to addresses outside the US. Fortunately, Abi’s family lives in California, and they were happy for me to get the tickets sent to them, so they could forward them to me. Phew!

Once that was sorted, we could go ahead and book flights and hotels. I’d previously found that Expedia gives excellent deals on holidays to the US. Oddly enough, though, you get a consistently better deal if you avoid booking at a weekend. The flight and hotel combinations were consistently £50-£80 more expensive on a Saturday or Sunday than if you book them during the week.

The first time I noticed this was at the start of January. I’d checked the prices mid-week, then gone in on a Saturday to look at them again. “Bugger,” I thought when I saw the increased prices, “we’ve missed all the cheap deals.” But this turned out not to be the case. When I showed Scott the prices again the following Wednesday, they were back down to their lower levels. And when I checked again the next weekend, they were back up.

It’s possible that cheap holiday deals are continuously being released in mid week, then all getting snapped up by the time the weekend arrives, but somehow I doubt it. I reckon they’ve found that most people book their holidays at the weekend, and so are trying to make the most of this. (So let that be a warning.)

Anyhow, with the concert being at the start of March (not exactly tourist high season), we got a fantastic deal on flights and a hotel. We’ll be flying from Edinburgh to Boston via Amsterdam on Friday 28th February, staying three nights at the Wyndham Boston hotel downtown, and then flying back again on Monday 3rd March. Toad are playing at the Avalon Nightclub on the Saturday evening.

Oh boy, am I looking forward to this.

Which is why I was marvellously surprised when I turned to Tantek Çelik’s blog this morning, and found that he’d been to the Toad gig at the Fillmore in San Francisco last night! Neat.

“The crowd was hilarious. I think we saw maybe one person under 30. Lots of sedated 80s styles–is big hair coming back? Guys should not wear white pants. Saw one guy who thought he was at a Pearl Jam concert and a few hippies too. Then there was tie-dye drunk guy that looked like he was having a seizure but it turned out he was only bopping his head and dancing.”

Yikes. I know I was never young and hip, but I guess I’m going to have to face the fact that I’m not young any more, either. On the other hand, being a thirty-ump professional means I have enough financial stability and flexibility to occasionally do wild stuff like fly across the Atlantic for a weekend.

I’m going to have to get my hair bleached again before we go, though 😉

Grandma McLean’s fall

Grandma McLean and AlexMy grandmother was taken in to hospital earlier today. She slipped and fell while she was out shopping, and has fractured her cheekbone, and a bone in her upper arm. My parents are up in Aberdeen with her now, and they’ve reported that despite the injuries, she’s in good spirits and bearing up well. Still, it was a shock for all of us. And for grandma, too, of course 😉

This means we’ll be postponing our weekend away at Rufflets, and going up to see Grandma instead. (We don’t know if she’ll still be in hospital by then. If she’s out, she may be going to stay with my parents for a while.) Family comes first.

Get well soon, Grandma. We love you.

Mondrian Machine

The Mondrian Machine (via forty.something) is more than just a cool web toy that allows you to create your own neoplasticist art. It is also an interesting illustration of the capabilities of Opera 7‘s new DHTML engine. The toy works by using JavaScript to alter the structure of the web page after it has been rendered to your screen. Opera 6 can’t handle this, but Opera 7 just breezes through it without a problem. Sweet.

On a completely different note, “Mondrian” is the English spelling of the artist’s surname (“Mondriaan”). When an English speaker pronounces “Mondrian” the “a” is long. If a Dutch speaker pronounces that spelling, the “a” is short, and it would sound something like “Mondree-uhn”. The long “a” sound in Dutch is represented by the digraph “aa”. To illustrate this, check Google. When you search for “Mondriaan”, most of the top search results (18,800 pages in total) are in Dutch. If you search on “Mondrian”, you get predominantly English pages (103,000 of them).

What baffles me, though, is why his first name doesn’t seem to have undergone a similar anglicization. A typical English speaker hearing a Dutch speaker pronounce “Piet” would spell it “Pete”. So why hasn’t he become “Pete Mondrian”?

Linguistic drift. Gotta love it.

Playing around with Trackback

I’ve been playing around with Trackbacks this evening, trying to get them set up here in my blog. Trackbacks are an alternative way of commenting on blog entries. Instead of posting an actual comment on the entry, you write an entry on your own blog. Then you tell your blog software to send a “trackback ping” to my server. My server then automatically adds a reference to your entry on my pages. Nifty, eh?

Well, I’ve got it mostly working. Movable Type normally considers comments and trackbacks to be completely different things, but Adam Kalsey has written a new plugin called “SimpleComments“, which allows you to merge them into a single display.

There is only one slight problem. When someone posts a comment on a blog entry, Movable Type automatically rebuilds that entry. If you’re displaying comments in-line with the entry, this ensures that the comments actually show up immediately. But trackbacks don’t trigger a rebuild. (This is intentional behaviour, not a bug in MT. It does make sense: if your rebuild process takes a long time, then a person trying to send you a trackback ping may get a time-out before the rebuild is complete.)

If you’re using the standard MT popup dialog for showing comments and trackbacks, the rebuild issue is not a problem, because the popup dialog dynamically extracts comments and trackbacks from the MT database when it shows up. But I don’t like popups. I much prefer to see comments and trackbacks on the same single page as the original entry.

I’m reluctant to change all of my archive pages from static .html to dynamic script pages (e.g. PHP). I use slashforward URLs for all my permalinks internally, but unfortunately Movable Type doesn’t realize that, and whenever I’ve been leaving trackbacks behind on other people’s sites, the trackback URLs point to the actual page.

Other alternatives include installing a script that will automatically rebuild my MT archive pages every so often, or doing a manual rebuild whenever I get a notification email that someone has sent me a trackback ping.

I’m going to have to think about this one for a while. I suspect I’ll end up going to an automatic rebuild solution, but I’d like to find one that only rebuilds selected entries (i.e. only the ones with new trackbacks since the last rebuild) rather than the whole archive. We’ll see how it goes.

Export from Mozilla to Oulook (part 2)

After a few suggestions from a friend I eventually found the solution to importing mail from Mozilla into Outlook. It’s a grotesque and hacky travesty of application compatibility, but there you go.

The full instructions are on Google NewsGroups here. In summary, you have to install Eudora 5.x. Eudora can import from Mozilla. Then you use Outlook Express (6) to import from Eudora. (OE says it can only import from versions up to 3, but it lies. 5 works fine, too.) Finally, you use Outlook to import from Outlook Express. (Outlook says that it can import directly from Eudora up to version 4, but it seems to make an incorrect assumption about the location of your Eudora mail store, and won’t allow you to change the import directory.)

You also have to watch the import from Mozilla to Eudora closely, because it seems to occasionally merge huge bundles of messages into a single one. (Open up each folder in Eudora, and look for messages with unusually large file sizes.) At least the bug seems to be consistent: running the import twice in a row will consistently merge the same messages. To get around this, I spent some time shuffling the affected messages around in Mozilla (putting them into different folders), and then re-importing.

Note that you also have to tell Mozilla to Compress its folders (from the File menu). It seems that when you move messages between folders in Mozilla, it just updates the mailbox indexes, not the mailbox files themselves. And it’s the mailbox files that Eudora imports. Compressing the folders forces Mozilla to physically move the messages, and re-index everything.

End-to-end time: about two hours this evening, plus an hour or so scouring the net to find out how to do it in the first place. Thanks, Mozilla. Don’t expect to see me back again.